The Fall of Assad can best be described as a perfect storm of Internal and External Pressures from global power players!
Therefore, after over a decade of brutal civil war, Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria has finally begun to crumble. The fall of Assad’s government has sparked concerns about the potential hazards of power vacuum in the region, with various countries, including Israel, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia, making moves to expand their influence in Syria.
So, why did Assad’s regime fall at this time? The answer lies in a perfect storm of internal and external pressures that have been building for years.
Internally, Assad’s regime had become increasingly isolated and weakened by the civil war. The Syrian economy was in shambles, with widespread poverty, unemployment, and infrastructure destruction. The regime’s brutal suppression of opposition and dissent had also alienated many Syrians, who had lost faith in Assad’s ability to provide stability and security.
Externally, the regime faced mounting pressure from regional and international powers. The United States, in particular, had been seeking to isolate and weaken Assad’s government, imposing economic sanctions and providing military support to opposition groups.
Turkey, which had long been a key backer of the Syrian opposition, had also been increasing its military presence in northern Syria, putting pressure on Assad’s forces. Saudi Arabia, another key opponent of Assad, had been providing financial and military support to opposition groups.
The final straw came when Russia, Assad’s main international backer, began to withdraw its military support from Syria. Without Russian airpower and military advisers, Assad’s forces were unable to withstand the pressure from opposition groups and external powers.
As Assad’s regime collapses, the consequences are already being felt. Israel has taken advantage of the situation, with its ground forces crossing into Syrian territory for the first time since the 1973 October War. This move is likely aimed at countering Iranian influence in the region and securing Israel’s northern border.
Turkey, on the other hand, is seeking to repatriate millions of Syrian refugees living in Turkey, and has urged a peaceful transition of power in Syria. Saudi Arabia is also watching the situation closely, having been involved in efforts to shape the transition period in Syria.
The fall of Assad’s regime has also raised concerns about the potential for extremism and terrorism to flourish in the power vacuum. The Syrian opposition, which includes various factions and extremist groups, is now in control of much of the country.
The international community is calling for a peaceful transition of power and an end to the violence that has ravaged Syria for over a decade. However, with various countries jostling for influence in the region, the situation remains highly volatile and uncertain.
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Image: Khameini Wikipedia cropped